WEEK 9 NFL PROPS

I went 2/2 on personal props last week, and 3-1 overall for the pod, so let’s stay hot and make it two good weeks in a row…

Dalton Kincaid Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Love this matchup for Kincaid paired with his recent usage, as he has really taken a step forward the last two weeks. Last week he had 5 catches for 65 yards + TD, and the week before that he had 8 catches for 75 yards. A lot of this has to do with his snap / route rate spiking due to the absence of Dawson Knox. Knox will be out once again, and I think Kincaid eats again Sunday night. The Bengals have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing TE of any team in the NFL so expect Kincaid to be heavily involved. Game script also checks out as Bills are a dog in a game with a total of 50.5. I would even consider a small ladder up to 60 / 70+.

Saquon Barkley Over 76.5 Rush Yards (-114)

This game is essentially a pick ’em, and with a total at 37, I do not see a game script where the Giants feel they have to get away from the run. With Daniel Jones coming back, I think the Giants will limit his carries and let Saquon handle the bulk of the work, and he should be effective, as the Raiders have been shredded on the ground all season long, giving up the third most rush yards per game at 140. Looking at some performances backs have had against LV this season, the Lions this past week ran all over them for 222 yards. Saquon has had 77+ yards in 3 straight, and I think he makes it 4 in a row on Sunday. 

Austin Kasick

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